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| Fanning the flames on Europe's Eastern Flank. Ukraine is spiraling into dangerous gambits. All the right players are present and willing to bluff it out. Image: Ukraine memorial to the WW2 fallen |
From a military point of view the Kiev surge into the
Donbass was badly handled. It could be said that the separatists (Russia) now
has a clearer picture of not what Kiev forces can do, but rather of what they can’t
do.
Nothing short of open outright western support for the Kiev
government army can halt the counter attack pushing the Ukrainian forces out of
the Donbass area. And that’s a dangerous gambit and a recipe for a cold winter.
When Putin says he can be in Kiev in two weeks he means it.
Whether or not he wants to or sees this as a strategic move is highly unlikely.
The EU and the West made the colossal error of thinking
Russia was weak and not ready to react to the coup of last March fuelled by the
usual C.I.A. suspects.
Putin will enable Moscow to speak for ethnic Russians east
of the Dnieper River running through Kiev and which is the historical and natural
extent of past European influence. (Hapsburg Empire). Russia has already completed
encirclement of the entire south Ukrainian flank from Tiraspol to Mariupol.
There is no point hammering on about Ukraine’s loss of sovereignty
and the annexation of Crimea when the west sits back and turns a blind eye to
Israel’s carve-up of the Palestinian territories. This embedded dual standard/hypocrisy
only cements the mistrust between east and west that fosters conflict.
In the end we only have to look at the historical map of the
Ukraine (borderlands) to see the outcomes and natural result of the latest political
shenanigans. Looking at the historical
maps of Israel and the Levant presents a less favourable scenario.
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