9 Oct 2013

Syrian Conflict: The Hezbollah Effect

President Assad has held his line. The Us President has telephoned the new Iranian president to hammer out peace negotiations. The Syrian free army and Al Qaida affiliate groups are backed up against the Turkish border. Qatar and Saudi Arabia are at a loss over their next move.

In Short the civil war in Syria has an outcome.  The Shia Crescent spread its influence from Tehran across Iraq to the port of Tartus embracing Alawite Syria and Shia Lebanon. It’s complete. The sectarian and economic confrontation between Iran and Saudi Arabia has forged lines. Turkey to the north and Gulf states to the south are Sunni lands. The Shia crescent between is clear; just like the mighty gas which will flow through its Islamic pipeline towards Europe.  

The 2013 summer battle for the strategic town of Al Qusayr tipped the balance. After it fell to Assad’s army it was too late for further proxy intervention. It came down to the presence of a few thousand Hezbollah fighters to decide the fate of the Syrian civil war.
“Saudi Arabia, Turkey and other regional countries backing Syria's rebels must acknowledge their failures to bring down the Syrian government, and join efforts for a political solution to end the two and a half year civil war,” Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah said Monday 08th Oct 13.
"I call on Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and other Gulf states to revise your stance," he said. "You won't reach anywhere by relying on a military victory….. think with your minds. Think about your interests, the interests of the region, the survival of the region."
It took several thousand fighters from Hezbollah's Unit 910, external security organisation, to tip
the balance in the 2 yr Syrian civil war. Now it's peace deals, with Iran's Shia Crescent the winner.    
Nasrallah said that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries are using Hezbollah as a scapegoat "to run away from their failures," by accusing the highly trained resistance army of occupying Syria.
"For two and a half years, they used everything in their disposal ... to control Syria and they failed. Of course Hezbollah are foreigners, we are not Syrian, but what about the tens of thousands of foreign fighters who you brought from all over the world? Are they occupying Syria?"
President Assad, who is currently undergoing rehabilitation with western powers, said in an interview with Der Spiegel, “Victory is stability. The real battle for Syria is to get rid of their (Al Qaida) ideology.
It cannot be that an eight-year-old boy tries to behead someone, which happened in the north. Or children watch a beheading with jubilation, happy, like they're watching a soccer match. If we don't deal with this problem, which is more dangerous than the terrorists themselves, we're going to face a bleak future.