At the half way stage of this Brexit phenomena, it would not be unfair to cite the negotiations as heading for a possible collapse as attitudes harden across the table.
The talks are becoming fraught. Tensions are rising. Leaders
playing this political game of chicken are wondering if the chicken’s head will
stay put or be lost in the current scramble for the best pieces in the Brexit end
game. Better to checkmate with a Queen and a Knight -if you got them at that
point.
And all of this could have been prevented. Or maybe it was
not to be prevented, for who wins this game of chicken will go forward into the
post Neo-Liberal world order as a victorious player to be reckoned with. The
looser will be humiliated for years to come.
Both sides have serious handicaps. For the UK, preparation
for an EU crash out scenario are underdeveloped while worst for the EU is they
have no contingency what so ever, to date, for a post Brexit UK victory. Playing
good chess calls for forward thinking.
Should it lose, EU member states will worry and will doubt
the EU’s fitness for purpose, while a defeated UK will set Westminster alight. Brexit
has become a tug of attrition between UK & EU aspirations and reputations
in a game that pits democratic national sovereignty (White) against a technocratic
system of government (Black) – trade is the excuse, but power is the reason –
Glory is the prize- there is everything to play for.
Meanwhile, as Brexit talks evolves into the UK’s Berlin Wall
moment, the widening revolt against the EU’s plans for More Europe has moved into a new phase. Germany, Austria, Catalonia
and Northern Italy have each in their own way turned more than slightly away
from the Brussels’s integralism ideology.
European elites are curiously silent about the most recent serious
shock to Spain’s unity. Their response is to support the Madrid government. They
cite respect for the Spanish constitution and how it is not prudent to
interfere in a country’s internal affairs.
The EU is fundamentally flawed, and everyone seems to know
it – even the EU itself. But reform is not possible because the mechanism for
reform is not written into the EU’s DNA. As such, the deteriorating situation
in trust and respect for the EU’s political agenda across Europe will continue
as people take more and more interest in what concerns them – the power to
determine their future in their own best interests.