It doesn't take a survey to tell a person which way the wind blows when on the street facing a biting gust.
Support for the European Union is falling. Distrust is growing. Damage is accelerating. Europe is in disarray. “The Union is over!” Well not quite really over.
|The great reformist of 1517 Martin Luther is honoured in Dresden city centre. Germany leads|
again a new reformation in changing political and economic destiny for Europe. Image 2013
In a few recent short years, half a century of sterling work by our fore-fathers to create a United Europe is being completely re-assessed. “The Union is dead!” “Long live the Union!” Great cities are once again committing to European destiny.
Chancellor Angela Merkel steps in behind a “Keep UK in the EU” campaign. Her government’s support for the campaign is seen in Berlin as vital to reshaping the Project beyond its present form.
Most observers know Europe will look a different structure by 2017 if not before.
Political leaders have few options to explore the way forward. At the forefront is a northern block led by Germany and preferred ally the UK. In tandem, and implementing necessary reforms, France, Italy and Spain should head-up a formidable southern team. The peripheral will play ball to join either league being relegated and promoted on performance.
The muddle in the middle of this concept is of course the fated currency problem. It’s one for the technocrats and bankers to sort out. But, regardless of ECB bravado, the Euro’s position is becoming increasingly untenable as a universal currency.
Recognising that Europe is still in a fast mid-stream River of Change is the single most important realisation Europeans can make. There is no easy voluntary political concept that marries a continental peoples so diverse, distributed and strongly independent. There are only visionary concepts, which in due time run their course before a necessary metamorphosis is undertaken once again.